Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Space Travel News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
Walker's World: Merkel says 'nein'
by Martin Walker
Paris (UPI) Jun 4, 2012


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

It cannot be much fun being Angela Merkel these days. Her peers among world leaders ganged up on the German chancellor at the Group of Eight summit in the United States last month and they ganged up on her at the last European summit and they did it again last week.

U.S. President Barrack Obama, new French President Francois Hollande and Italy's technocrat Prime Minister Mario Monti arranged a conference call with Merkel to persuade her to lift her veto on using Europe's available bailout funds to help rescue its banks.

The version reported in the Italian press stated the leaders tried three times in the course of the call. The first time was friendly and she answered "No," in English. The second time they were still polite but pressed her and she replied "Nein," in German. The third time they spoke with more urgency and a certain amount of tension and once again it was "Nein."

The problem is that both sides had very good arguments. Obama, Hollande and Monti were right to warn that the ominous threat of a run on European banks was building fast, with the prospect them looming of the collapse of a major bank, a European version of the Lehman brothers bankruptcy of 2008.

What might be called "a bank trot" (since it isn't yet a run) seems to be under way in Spain, where more than $100 billion has been transferred to German, British and Danish banks in recent weeks and the Danish central bank (not in the euro system) has been cutting interest rates to deter more flows.

The run of capital flight is infecting Italy and even France, as fears of a Spanish banking crisis is spreading the contagion to banks on Rome and Paris.

Moreover, central banks in emergent markets, led by China and Brazil, have been "dumping euros" London's Financial Times reported Monday, citing currency traders at Citibank and Bank of America. The euro fell 7 percent against the dollar in May.

It was in this context that the three leaders pressed Merkel to use the $300 billion immediately available from the European Financial Stability Facility to support the troubled banks.

"Germany does not want the fund to spend billions in exchange for collateral from ruined banks," she replied, the version leaked by Italian officials said. "I don't see why we should end up holding bits of bankrupt lenders."

Merkel instead is pushing the Spanish government to follow Greece, Ireland and Portugal in accepting official bail-out funds under the stringent conditions that have proved so controversial in those countries.

The problem is that once that happens, the European fund would instantly get the top priority for repayment and private lenders would be "subordinate" or pushed down the waiting list. What this meant in Greece was that the private lenders had to take a big loss on their loans. After that Greek experience the markets, already demanding more than 6 percent interest on Spanish loans, would be unlikely to lend to Spain at all.

The irony isn't just cruel, it is vicious. Obama, Hollande and Monti were right to say that a European bank run would trigger a global meltdown. But Merkel is right to say that neither she nor the German taxpayer are prepared to use funds intended to bail out euro countries to save badly run banks.

What she means is that she isn't prepared to lose next year's German election to save Greeks, Spaniards (and Italians, if need be) from the results of their own spendthrift folly.

Not for the first time, Merkel is misreading the situation. In Spain and much of southern Europe the banks and governments are supporting each other like a couple of drunks, or perhaps like Mark Twain's two impoverished families, "who made a modest living by taking in each other's washing." The banks borrow money from the European Central Bank buy their government's bonds. The governments then guarantee the banks and even help them recapitalize, even if they have to sell more bonds to do so.

The financial world is in for an interesting few weeks. On Thursday, Spain is having a debt auction and on June 17 the Greeks have a new election. Then the Europeans have another summit, with talk of a new long-term plan for a European banking authority.

And meantime Italy's former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, on whose support the Monti government depends, has been exercising his talent for saying the unthinkable. He declared last week: "If Europe refuses to listen to our demands, we should say 'bye, bye' and leave the euro. Or tell the Germans to leave the euro if they are not happy."

He even sketched out a strategy which would certainly drive the Germans from the nest, suggesting that Italy use its own government facilities to print euros, which is supposed to be done only by the European Central Bank.

This is a nuclear option. If Italians or Greeks start printing their euro notes it would be like official counterfeiting. Germany's only recourse, short of war, would be to scuttle back to the deutsche mark, a move more and more Germans might welcome.

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








POLITICAL ECONOMY
Asia struggles to ward off impact of European crisis
Shanghai (AFP) June 3, 2012
Weak manufacturing activity in China and dismal growth data from India have underscored Asia's vulnerability to the European turmoil and sparked fresh calls for government intervention. Asia was long considered a global bright spot, even a haven from Europe's deepening crisis and the weak US recovery. But the continent is starting to feel the heat as overseas markets deteriorate. World T ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Sea Launch Delivers the Intelsat 19 Spacecraft into Orbit

SpaceX Dragon capsule splash lands in Pacific

US cargo ship on return voyage from space station

US cargo vessel prepares to leave space station

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Wind may have driven avalanches on Martian dunes

On The Hunt For Light-Toned Veins Of Gypsum

Mars missions may learn from meteor Down Under

Waking Up with the Sun's Rays

POLITICAL ECONOMY
UA Lunar-Mining Team Wins National Contest

NASA Lunar Spacecraft Complete Prime Mission Ahead of Schedule

NASA Offers Guidelines To Protect Historic Sites On The Moon

Neil Armstrong gives rare interview - to accountant

POLITICAL ECONOMY
It's a Sim: Out in Deep Space, New Horizons Practices the 2015 Pluto Encounter

Beyond Pluto And Exploring the Kuiper Belt

Uranus auroras glimpsed from Earth

Herschel images extrasolar analogue of the Kuiper Belt

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Tiny Planet-Finding Mirrors Borrow from Webb Telescope Playbook

Astronomers Probe 'Evaporating' Planet Around Nearby Star with Hobby-Eberly Telescope

Venus transit may boost hunt for other worlds

NSO To Use Venus Transit To Fine-Tune Search For Other Worlds

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Sierra Nevada Announces the Completion of Four Dream Chaser Milestones FOR NASA

J-2X Engine Continues to Set Standards

Liquid Oxygen Piston Pump Ready for Reusable Space Flight

Pictures show N. Korea rocket launch upgrade

POLITICAL ECONOMY
What will China's Taikonauts do aboard Tiangong 1?

Why is China sending a woman into space?

China launches telecommunication satellite

Tiangong 1 Ready To Meet Shenzhou 9

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Dawn deep in the asteroid belt orbiting Vesta

UT's Josh Emery Uncovers Clues About Asteroid That Will Pass Near Earth

Rosetta flyby uncovers the complex history of asteroid Lutetia

OSIRIS-REx Scientists Measure Yarkovsky Effect




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement