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TRADE WARS
US to respond to concerns over trade policy at G20: official
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) July 17, 2018

S. Korea minister warns of fallout of US-China trade war
Seoul (AFP) July 18, 2018 - South Korea's finance minister warned that an all-out trade war between the US and China would have grim implications for the country, as he lowered this year's growth outlook Wednesday.

The world's 11th largest economy is expected to grow 2.9 percent this year, lower than an earlier estimate of three percent, Kim Dong-yeon said, citing slowing demand at home and abroad as well as rising unemployment.

The latest estimate is also lower than last year's figures, when the export-reliant economy expanded 3.1 percent, and comes as the South's top two trading partners China and the US engage in a bitter spat that has seen them impose hefty tariffs on billions of dollars in goods.

"The economic situation down the road does not seem to be bright," Kim told reporters.

"The situation may get worse if anxiety in the international financial markets spreads due to the US-China trade dispute... and market and corporate sentiment does not improve," he said.

Overseas shipments account for more than half of the South's economy, with more than a quarter of exports shipped to China and about 12 percent to the US.

Kim vowed to "closely monitor international trade situations including the US-China trade row" and announced measures to encourage job creation and spur domestic spending.

US President Donald Trump has taken a confrontational "America First" stance on trade policy, imposing steep tariffs on steel and aluminum, which angered allies and prompted swift retaliation, as well as 25 percent duties on $34 billion of Chinese goods, with more on the way.

China has matched US tariffs dollar-for-dollar and threatened to take further measures, while US exports face retaliatory border taxes from Canada, Mexico and the European Union.

The International Monetary Fund said this week the growing trade confrontation is the "greatest near-term threat to global growth" and in the worst case could cut a half point off world GDP.

US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will have the opportunity to address concerns about Washington's trade policies during a meeting of the world's leading finance ministers this weekend, a senior Treasury official said Tuesday.

However, the official said Mnuchin has no plans for a separate meeting with Chinese officials to try to resolve the trade conflict that has led to an exchange of tariffs on tens of billions of dollars in trade between the two countries.

Finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of 20 leading economies are due to meet in Buenos Aires Saturday and Sunday, where Mnuchin "will respond to concerns on US trade policies," the official told reporters in a conference call.

Group of Seven officials on hand for the broader meeting will also hold a one-hour session during which they will again discuss "concrete action with regard to China and its economic aggression," the Treasury official said.

That includes subsidies China used to create excess steel production capacity "burdening workers around the world," as well as heavy reliance on state-owned enterprises and export credits, the official said.

President Donald Trump has taken an confrontational stance on trade policy, imposing steep tariffs on steel and aluminum, which angered allies and prompted swift retaliation, as well as 25 percent duties on tens of billions of Chinese goods, with more on the way.

Although Mnuchin recently testified to Congress that the administration is willing to reengage with Beijing to try to resolve the dispute, the Treasury official said no meeting was scheduled with his Chinese counterparts.

"The secretary has had substantial contact with Chinese officials so there's not the imperative at this meeting to have a formal bilateral," the official said.

The trade tensions are caused by China's policies that "have moved in a non-market direction over the years and creates problems for many countries," the official said.

The International Monetary Fund said this week the growing trade confrontation is the "greatest near-term threat to global growth" and in the worst case could cut a half point off world GDP.

Mnuchin will hold separate bilateral meetings with officials from France, Canada, Germany and Mexico, among others, while at the G20.

He also will stop in Brazil on his way to Argentina for meetings there.


Related Links
Global Trade News


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