Space Travel News
TRADE WARS
The main obstacles to Chinese growth
The main obstacles to Chinese growth
By S�bastien RICCI
Beijing (AFP) July 14, 2024

China's top leadership meets on Monday to thrash out plans to boost growth, but the country's economy remains weakened by sluggish consumption, a property sector in crisis and deflation fears.

Here AFP looks at the main challenges facing the world's second-largest economy:

- Fragile consumption -

A high youth unemployment rate -- 14.2 percent in May -- and economic uncertainties are weakening consumption, one of the driving forces behind the Chinese economy.

China plunged into deflation for four months starting last October, with the sharpest contraction in consumer prices in 14 years taking place in January.

They have since returned to positive territory but are rising only slightly, with June's increase just 0.2 percent, according to data released on Wednesday.

Stagnant or falling prices are bad for the economy's health, forcing firms to cut back to clear their stocks or reduce production in the absence of demand, which weighs on their profitability and willingness to hire.

- Real estate in crisis -

The property sector, which enjoyed two decades of meteoric growth as the population's standard of living rose, long accounted for more than a quarter of China's GDP.

But it has been under pressure since the government tightened credit conditions for property groups in 2020 in order to reduce their debt. Many such firms are now on the verge of bankruptcy.

That disincentivises Chinese people to invest in property, especially as real estate in China is often paid for before it is even built.

The fall in prices per square metre is also a blow to the wallets of homeowners, who have long seen property as a safe investment.

- Local authorities in debt -

The finances of some local authorities are stretched to the limit after three years of astronomical spending to combat the Covid-19 pandemic and, above all, a property crisis that has deprived them of a major source of income.

The economic context is exacerbating their difficulties, according to analysts at SinoInsider, an American consultancy specialising in China.

And they point out that some companies have recently complained about receiving tax arrears dating back to the 1990s.

SinoInsider noted that local governments are "trying various methods" to increase their revenues, at the risk of weakening businesses that have already been tested by the economic situation.

- Trade under pressure -

China's exports are also a matter of concern for the country's leaders.

Historically they are a major growth driver and have a direct impact on employment for thousands of companies.

But the sector is under pressure from geopolitical tensions between Beijing and Washington, as well as those with the European Union, a key trading partner for the Asian giant.

In early July, the EU imposed additional customs duties of up to 38 percent on imports of Chinese electric cars, a decision that could become final in November.

Brussels accuses Beijing of illegally favouring its manufacturers through subsidies.

- Weak investment -

The economic situation in China, geopolitical tensions with Washington and the risk they pose to supply chains are holding back foreign investment.

The Chinese economy has potential, with its doors wide open and private investment welcome, say China's leaders, who in recent months have stepped up their efforts to attract foreign business figures.

Over the period from January to May, foreign investment nevertheless fell by 28 percent year-on-year, according to figures from the commerce ministry.

- Financial pressure -

Given the economic climate, the financial sector is reluctant to invest in traditional growth sectors, fuelling an "asset shortage", SinoInsider said.

On the other hand, it is buying more and more "risk-free" long-term government bonds, which is driving down yields.

This is helping to depreciate the Chinese currency, with the risk of accelerating capital flight, SinoInsider warned.

Related Links
Global Trade News

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters
Tweet

RELATED CONTENT
The following news reports may link to other Space Media Network websites.
TRADE WARS
Stocks up on US rate hopes, yen holds gains amid intervention talk
Hong Kong (AFP) July 12, 2024
Markets mostly rose Friday after a largely negative day on Wall Street despite growing confidence of a US interest rate cut, while the yen saw big swings as speculation swirled that Japan had stepped into forex markets to support the currency. A smaller-than-expected read on the June consumer price index ramped up bets on the Federal Reserve lowering borrowing costs in September, and possibly again before January. The news came after the central bank's boss Jerome Powell said decision-makers wou ... read more

TRADE WARS
TRADE WARS
Mars Likely Experienced Cold and Icy Conditions, Study Suggests

Martian Atmosphere Unveiled Through Innovative Use of Existing Technology

Europe's Earth Return Orbiter Advances to Next Development Stage

'Ready to come out?' Scientists reemerge after year 'on Mars'

TRADE WARS
Queqiao-2 Embarks on Scientific Missions for Future Lunar Exploration

Gateway Prepares for Lunar Missions

Eye Test for Lunar Impact Surveyor

Garnet Presence in the Deep Lunar Mantle Confirmed

TRADE WARS
Subaru Telescope Discovers New Objects Beyond the Kuiper Belt

NASA's Juno Observes Lava Lakes on Jupiter's Moon Io

Understanding Cyclones on Jupiter Through Oceanography

Unusual Ion May Influence Uranus and Neptune's Magnetic Fields

TRADE WARS
Unraveling Early Earth's Life and Climate Insights

JWST Unveils Potential Ice World in Habitable Zone

Potentially Habitable Ice-Covered Super-Earth Discovered by Astronomers

New Method to Enhance Microbe Viability for Space and Extreme Environments

TRADE WARS
Rocket Lab Prepares for Capella Space Mission Launch from New Zealand

Europe's new Ariane 6 rocket powers into space

Europe's Ariane 6 rocket successfully launches for first time

Astronauts stuck on ISS 'confident' Starliner will bring them home

TRADE WARS
Shenzhou XVII Crew Shares Post-Mission Insights with Media

Shenzhou XVIII Crew Successfully Completes Second Spacewalk

Chinese Scientists Develop Novel Rosa Roxburghii Varieties via Space Breeding

Shenzhou 18 Crew to Conduct Second Extravehicular Activities

TRADE WARS
Dark Comets May Constitute a Major Portion of Near-Earth Objects

NASA Radar Monitors Close Approaches of Two Large Asteroids

NASA, Partners Conduct Fifth Asteroid Impact Exercise, Release Summary

NASA Asteroid Experts Create Hypothetical Impact Scenario For Exercise

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.