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TAIWAN NEWS
Taiwan's Ma wins vote but faces tough second term
by Staff Writers
Taipei (AFP) Jan 15, 2012

Ma poll win could boost Taiwan-China ties: Xinhua
Beijing (AFP) Jan 15, 2012 - Chinese state media said Sunday the victory of Beijing-friendly leader Ma Ying-jeou in the Taiwanese presidential election could offer a "new opportunity" to improve relations across the Taiwan Strait.

Ma, of the Kuomintang (KMT) party, won a second term on Saturday after four years of policies that have seen the most dramatic thaw in the island's ties with China since the two sides split more than six decades ago.

A commentary on Beijing's official Xinhua news agency said the result of the poll showed the Taiwanese people had backed peaceful development of ties with the mainland.

"The winning of Ma Ying-jeou and Kuomintang in Saturday's elections may open new chances for the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations," Xinhua said in its "China Voice" commentary. It urged all Taiwanese to support improved ties.

"Moreover, the victory of Ma and the KMT may represent a new opportunity for the development of the cross-Strait relations."

China and Taiwan have been governed separately since the end of a civil war in 1949, but Beijing still claims sovereignty over the island, and has vowed to get it back, even if it must go to war to make it happen.

Xinhua warned that the two sides "should be wary that the situation in the island is still complicated and the 'Taiwan independence' stance will continue to haunt the cross-Strait relations development."

A separate Xinhua report quoted an unnamed spokesperson from Beijing's Taiwan Affairs Office saying the "facts" over the past four years showed the growth of peaceful relations was the right path.

"We are willing to join hands with Taiwan's all walks of life on the basis of continuing to oppose the 'Taiwan independence'... to break new ground for the peaceful development of the cross-Strait relations and make common efforts for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation," the spokesperson said.


Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou's re-election is a relief for China and the US, but observers say he could face a tough second term, forced to balance demands from Beijing with fears he is selling out.

Beijing-friendly Ma's surprisingly comfortable victory over his China-sceptic challenger on Saturday was greeted with expressions of hope that positive momentum in the island's ties with the mainland can be maintained.

China's state media said Ma's win "may open new chances for the peaceful development" of relations, while the White House called on China and Taiwan to continue their "impressive efforts" to build ties.

Ma's outreach to China over the past four years has made the strategically vital Taiwan Straits area, which sits astride some of the world's major shipping lanes, more stable than at any other time in the past six decades.

Challenger Tsai Ing-wen of the populist Democratic Progressive Party had caused concern by suggesting she may not accept the longstanding formula under which Taiwan agrees, in a vague and non-committal way, to the idea of "one China".

"This is the best-case scenario for cross-strait relations," Chu Shulong, an international relations expert at Beijing's Tsinghua University, said of the victory for Ma and his Kuomintang party.

"Ma's victory will ensure that the stability and peaceful development between the two sides in the past four years can continue," he said.

During his first term, Ma oversaw the most dramatic thaw in mainland ties since China and Taiwan split in 1949 after a civil war, with a sweeping trade pact signed in 2010 considered a crowning achievement.

But outside economic initiatives, Hong Kong-born Ma has proceeded carefully, constantly reassuring the public that his top priority is Taiwan's sovereignty, a cautious approach that was vindicated in Saturday's vote.

"There's no mandate for moving faster than Ma has done thus far. The gradual approach while affirming Taiwan's autonomy is popular," said Clayton Dube, a Taiwan expert at the University of Southern California.

The big question is if China is satisfied with the current measured pace or if it would like more boldness in Taipei, moving from economic issues to more sensitive political ones, such a peace treaty to formally end the civil war.

Ma indicated Sunday he was aware that he faces a critical test as he balances warming China relations with domestic concerns over the pace of rapprochement.

"In the four years ahead, I'll not have the pressure of seeking re-election, but I'll have the pressure of establishing a historical legacy. Therefore I'll do my best to be a model for our country and for history," he said.

Complicating any contacts between China and Taiwan is Beijing's insistence that it has sovereignty over the island and will bring about reunification, even if it means war.

In its reaction to Saturday's vote, China's Taiwan Affairs Office said it is prepared "to join hands with all walks of life on the basis of continuing to oppose 'Taiwan independence'."

The next few months could be critical as China undergoes a complex power transition, according to Joseph Wu, a political analyst at the National Chengchi University and a former top China policy-maker when Taiwan was led by the anti-Beijing Democratic Progressive Party (DPP).

"There will be a wave of pressure before Chinese President Hu Jintao steps down in October as Hu seeks to establish his legacy for his accomplishment in cross-strait policies," he said.

"We haven't seen any change in Ma's personality or leadership style in the past four years and he will probably be too soft to resist China's pressure and defend Taiwan's sovereignty."

One the other hand, policy-making in Beijing is becoming more sophisticated, and Chinese officials are keenly aware of how a democracy like Taiwan's works.

That means that Ma is likely to enjoy some leeway in how fast to move, said John Ciorciari, a Taiwan expert at the University of Michigan.

"The Chinese government is doubtlessly pleased with his re-election and understands the political dynamics in Taipei," he said.

"China will press Ma for further engagement but will try to not to back him into a domestic political corner that would invite a DPP victory in the next presidential election."

According to this view, Taiwan and China will continue to boost their trade and investment ties, but be extremely cautious about any move that could be interpreted by the Taiwanese public as a step towards unification.

"China does not have any illusion as to how far Ma can go," said George Tsai, a political observer at the Chinese Culture University in Taipei.

"I think as long as he can create an irreversible trend for stable relations that's good enough for everybody."

Related Links
Taiwan News at SinoDaily.com




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China vows cooperation with Taiwan after poll
Beijing (AFP) Jan 15, 2012 - China said it will cooperate with Taiwan after the Beijing-friendly leader Ma Ying-jeou claimed victory in the island's presidential polls Saturday.

Ma, of the Kuomintang (KMT) party, won a second term as Taiwan's president after four years of policies that have seen the most dramatic thaw in the island's ties with China since the two sides split more than six decades ago.

"We are willing to join hands with Taiwan's all walks of life on the basis of continuing to oppose 'Taiwan independence'," the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, or cabinet, said in a statement released late Saturday.

An unnamed spokesman said in the statement carried by the official Xinhua news agency that China and Taiwan "should make common efforts for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation."

China considers Taiwan part of its sovereign territory and opposes any moves towards independence for the island.

Ma defeated Tsai Ing-wen, whose victory might have ushered in a period of uncertainty for ties with China, as her Democratic Progressive Party has favoured distancing Taiwan from the mainland.

A Chinese academic said a win for Ma was the desired result for Beijing, which could now pave the way for greater cooperation on economic and trade issues and even political talks.

"It is a very good result for us," said Zhu Songling, head of the cross-strait relations research institute at Beijing Union University.

"We are optimistic about political exchanges between the two sides, but it still requires patience from us to promote them carefully," he told AFP.

Chinese state media said Sunday that Ma's victory could offer a "new opportunity" to improve relations across the Taiwan Strait.

A Xinhua commentary said the result of the poll showed the Taiwanese people had backed peaceful development of ties with the mainland.

"The winning of Ma Ying-jeou and Kuomintang in Saturday's elections may open new chances for the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations," Xinhua said. It urged all Taiwanese to support improved ties.

"Moreover, the victory of Ma and the KMT may represent a new opportunity for the development of the cross-Strait relations," the commentary added.

China and Taiwan have been governed separately since the end of a civil war in 1949, but Beijing still claims sovereignty over the island, and has vowed to get it back, even if it must go to war to make it happen.

In the commentary, Xinhua warned that the two sides "should be wary that the situation in the island is still complicated and the 'Taiwan independence' stance will continue to haunt the cross-Strait relations development."



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TAIWAN NEWS
Dramatic vote looms in Taiwan as China, US watch
Taipei (AFP) Jan 12, 2012
Taiwan goes to the polls on Saturday in a knife-edge presidential election that could shape both the high-tech trading island's economic outlook and relations with Beijing and Washington. President Ma Ying-jeou of the Beijing-friendly Kuomintang (KMT) party is facing off against the China-sceptic opposition's Tsai Ing-wen, who is bidding to become the first female leader of Taiwan's 23 milli ... read more


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