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WAR REPORT
Reports of Russian military build-up in Syria fuel concern
By Karim TALBI with Thomas WATKINS in Washington
Moscow (AFP) Sept 10, 2015


Russian military buildup continues in Syria: US officials
Washington (AFP) Sept 9, 2015 - Russia is pressing ahead with its military buildup in Syria, US officials said on Wednesday, though Moscow's intentions in the war-ravaged nation remain unclear.

Aerial imagery shows Russia is focusing on Bassel al-Assad International Airport, south of Latakia on Syria's Mediterranean coast, and on the Russian naval facility in Tartus.

One US official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told AFP that two tank-landing ships have recently arrived at Tartus and about a dozen Russian armored personnel carriers are now at the Bassel al-Assad airport, named after Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's older brother.

The official said dozens of Russian naval infantry had arrived in Syria, but their role was likely to protect incoming military hardware rather than a boots-on-the-ground deployment.

"We've seen scores there," the official said. "There certainly are some troops there."

In addition, another giant Antonov-124 Condor military transporter had flown into the airport, bringing the total number of transport flights to at least four in recent days.

AFP reported Tuesday that Russia has also installed modular housing units -- enough for "hundreds" of people -- at the airport, as well as portable air traffic control equipment.

The developments further complicate the deadly crisis in Syria, where the conflict has claimed nearly 250,000 lives since 2011 and triggered a massive outflow of refugees -- many of whom are fleeing to Europe.

Moscow insists it is bringing humanitarian aid to a stricken nation, but the United States, which is attacking Islamic State jihadists in Syria, is worried Russia is preparing to assist militarily and strike rebel groups to help prop up long-time ally Assad.

"There's not consensus in the intelligence community about what it means," another US official said, again speaking on condition of anonymity.

"You have to take what Russia says with a grain of salt because they haven't always been transparent and honest about their intentions," the official added, referring to Russia's continued denials that it is supporting separatist rebels in eastern Ukraine.

- 'Unconscionable' to support Assad -

Syria has denied reports of increased military activity by Russian troops on its soil and Russia insists any arms deliveries are in keeping with traditional links to the Assad regime.

White House deputy press secretary Eric Schultz on Wednesday said the United States would welcome any Russian contributions to the fight against the Islamic State group.

But "it would be unconscionable for any party, including the Russians, to provide any support to the Assad regime," Schultz told reporters.

Despite the buildup of military equipment, officials noted there was no immediate indication Russia had sent in any ordnance or heavy weaponry. A US military official said "under 50" Russian troops had arrived in Syria in recent days.

Russia is facing logistical difficulties in getting its hardware to Syria by air.

Bulgaria said it refused permission late last week to an unspecified number of Russian aircraft to cross its airspace between September 1 and 24, angering Moscow.

But on Wednesday, Bulgaria said it would allow Syria-bound Russian planes over its airspace if Moscow agrees to let it inspect the cargo.

In the event Bulgaria closes its skies to Russian overflights, Moscow could route its planes over Iran and then Iraq.

When questioned whether the United States had asked Iraq to block Russian overflights, State Department spokesman John Kirby said America wanted regional partners -- including Iraq -- to ask some "pretty tough questions" about Russia's intent in Syria.

Photos allegedly showing Russian soldiers, reports of military deliveries and overflight requests are swelling fears among the United States and its allies that Russia is covertly bolstering the Syrian regime.

Moscow, an ally of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad, has had a military presence in the country since the Soviet era.

Though traditionally confined to a small naval facility in the port of Tartus, Russian infrastructure is spreading, US officials say.

Housing units have been set up that can accommodate "hundreds of soldiers" as well as a portable air traffic control station near the Syrian port city of Latakia, US officials told AFP on condition of anonymity.

Aerial imagery showed Russia was focusing on Bassel al-Assad International Airport, south of Latakia on Syria's Mediterranean coast, and on the Russian naval facility in Tartus.

Two tank-landing ships have recently arrived at Tartus and about a dozen Russian armoured personnel carriers are now at the airport, one US official told AFP.

Moscow argues it has sent military equipment to Syria according to commercial contracts and that its specialists merely help train the Syrian army.

But recent reports suggest the Kremlin has more at stake as it pushes for a broader grouping to fight the Islamic State group.

Moscow has excluded Russian boots on the ground or help in air strikes, but provides military support to the Syrian army as one of Assad's few remaining allies to help "fight terrorism".

The Russians have recently hosted various meetings of Syria's disparate opposition groups, who disagree on the fate of Assad.

Assad said in March he would support more Russian military support in Tartus and other ports.

- Western concern -

Reports of a beefed-up Russian military presence come with Russian-Western relations in a post-Cold War nadir over the Ukraine crisis.

Moscow's initial denial that it had sent troops to the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea ahead of its annexation in March 2014 casts a shadow on Russia's claims about its external military presence.

The New York Times reported Saturday that Russia had deployed an advance military team and delivered equipment to construct an air base near Latakia, an Assad regime coastal stronghold.

American officials also told AFP under condition of anonymity at least three Russian military transportation aircraft -- two Antonov 124 Condor cargo planes and a passenger jet -- have landed at Latakia airport in recent days.

"All of this seems to be suggesting that Russia is planning to do some sort of forward air-operating hub out of this airfield," one official said.

US Secretary of State John Kerry called his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov to warn the conflict could escalate if Moscow does increase its military support, a fear echoed by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg.

White House deputy press secretary Eric Schultz on Wednesday said the United States would welcome any Russian contributions to the fight against the Islamic State group.

But "it would be unconscionable for any party, including the Russians, to provide any support to the Assad regime", Schultz told reporters.

- Incomplete evidence -

Damascus, like Moscow, has denied reports of increased Russian presence, accusing Western and Arab states of spreading misinformation to portray Syria as weak.

Independent political analyst Alexander Golts told AFP it was "normal" to combine arms deliveries with military advisor visits.

He said the pictures of Russian soldiers claiming to be in Syria were in fact of soldiers monitoring the Russian naval facility in Tartus.

"They [the military personnel] are there to ensure that the transfer of military equipment to Tartus goes smoothly," Golts said.

Some three dozen pictures allegedly showing Russian soldiers in Syria emerged in Russian media, heightening the speculation.

But one soldier who had tagged a picture of himself in Damascus on Russian social network VK told AFP he was in fact a Belorussian national who set the location to the Syrian capital "just for fun" for a picture taken in Belarus.

Golts added there was no tangible evidence of Russian military presence in Syria outside Tartus but said "something might be going on that is worrying American intelligence".

Analyst Jeffrey White of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy told AFP that "lots of Russian materiel" -- including combat and logistical type vehicles -- had been flowing through the Turkish Straits.

"I believe the primary purpose is to shore up the regime," White said. "It looks like maybe this started as early as April and just went undetected."

White said it could jeopardise the insurgency's chances of success, including in Latakia, a possible relocation area for Assad and his clan, which the regime's opponents have been targeting for months.

Turkish soldier killed by fire from Syria: report
Ankara (AFP) Sept 10, 2015 - A Turkish soldier deployed on the border with Syria was killed early on Thursday by fire from Syrian territory, the Dogan news agency reported.

The soldier, 21, was standing guard in the Reyhanli district of the Hatay region of southern Turkey when he was hit by fire from the Syrian side of the border.

Despite efforts to save him, the soldier died in hospital, Dogan said, quoting a statement from the regional governor.

Two Turkish soldiers have been killed since late July in fire from Syria in incidents blamed on jihadists from the Islamic State (IS) extremist group.

Another soldier was abducted on September 1 and has not been heard of since.

It was not immediately clear which of the many groups fighting in northern Syria were behind in the current incident.

After months of hesitation, Turkey has fully joined the US-led coalition against IS, carrying out air strikes against its targets for the first time.


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