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THE STANS
'If peace comes': Afghans dream of life after war
By Emal HAIDARY
Kabul (AFP) Feb 22, 2020

The Afghan war, by numbers
Washington (AFP) Feb 21, 2020 - The war in Afghanistan -- launched on October 7, 2001 in the wake of the 9/11 attacks -- is the longest ever waged by the United States.

Here are a few key figures about the conflict, which a historic agreement between Washington and the Taliban seeks to end:

- Boots on the ground -

The NATO alliance committed to the Afghan conflict in December 2001, but the United States has always provided the largest military contingent. At its peak, under president Barack Obama in 2011, the US had 98,000 personnel on the ground, according to Pentagon figures.

As of February 2020, there are about 16,500 military personnel from 38 countries in Afghanistan as part of NATO's Operation Resolute Support, according to the latest data from the alliance.

Officially, that mission is now only for training and support of the Afghan army.

The United States makes up roughly half of the force with 8,000 soldiers, followed by Germany (1,300), Britain (1,100), Italy (900), Georgia (870) and Romania (800).

France, which has 4,000 soldiers in Afghanistan in 2010, pulled out of the country in 2012.

Beyond the US participation in Resolute Support, there are several thousand US forces on the ground taking part in Operation Freedom's Sentinel.

The Pentagon does not provide exact figures for that anti-jihadist mission, but it estimates the total US deployment in Afghanistan at "about 14,000."

President Donald Trump has often mentioned 13,000 as a total figure.

- Losses -

The United States has paid the highest price in terms of foreign fatalities in Afghanistan, with 1,909 military personnel killed and more than 20,700 wounded as of February 20, the Pentagon says.

As for other NATO coalition members, Britain has lost 454 personnel, followed by Canada (157) and France (89 dead), according to icasualties.org, which monitors the dead and wounded in the conflicts in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria.

The Afghan government no longer publishes data for losses within its army, which are significant. The United Nations estimates that 32,000-60,000 Afghan civilians have been killed in the conflict.

- How much does the war cost? -

As of September 30, 2019, the Pentagon officially estimated the cost of US operations in Afghanistan at $776 billion since 2001. Of that total, $197.3 billion has been earmarked for reconstruction of the war-ravaged country and its institutions.

But according to a study done by Brown University and published late last year, the cost of America's wars exceeds the Pentagon's estimate, as State Department aid is not taken in account, nor are any intelligence operations or the medical costs of wounded veterans.

Factoring in all those costs, the Brown researchers say the US "wars on terror" in Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan since 2001 have cost $6.4 trillion.

With a partial truce under way Saturday and a deal between the US and the Taliban likely on the horizon, Afghans are daring to dream of the war ending and their country finally opening up.

The "reduction in violence" agreed by the Taliban, the US and the Afghan security forces comes ahead of a possible deal between the insurgents and Washington which would see the US pull thousands of troops out of Afghanistan.

While the move is fraught with uncertainty, it marks a potentially historic step in the country's more than 18-year-old war.

Afghans have been sharing their hopes for peace on social media, tagging posts with hashtags in Dari and Pashto -- Afghanistan's two main languages -- that translate to #ifPeaceComes and #whenThereIsCeasefire.

"In the past 15 years, people have not been able to travel on highways safely. The Taliban stop them, kill them or kidnap them," Ramin Mazhar, a popular poet who helped spread the hashtags, told AFP.

If the reduction in violence holds, Mazhar said he would go to Nuristan, an inaccessible province in the northeast of the country.

"I want to go to Nuristan, run, laugh, sing, dance, whistle and eat yogurt," he said.

"I want to touch its green hills, crazy rivers and blue sky. I want to climb its trees, and know its pigeons."

Afghanistan was once a popular destination on the "hippie trail" that saw foreigners from across Europe travel to the country by bus en route to India in the 1960s and 1970s.

Tourism was all but destroyed following the Soviet invasion in 1979 that led to over 40 years of continuous fighting and instability.

Few Afghans have been able to visit areas outside of their immediate home ever since, while millions have relocated to urban areas or moved abroad.

The desire to see more of the country is strong.

Afghanistan is home to stunning mountain ranges like the snow-capped Hindu Kush along with verdant, remote valleys and swathes of pristine desert.

However with the Taliban controlling or contesting approximately half of Afghanistan, only small pockets of the country are accessible.

Highways and roads connecting urban centres to outlying towns and villages are notoriously dangerous with travellers killed or kidnapped almost daily by insurgents or criminal gangs.

Domestic flights, which are already too expensive for most Afghans, are also limited.

- 'Sorrows and happiness' -

"I have promised to take my friends to Badakhshan... (and) will fulfil my promise only when there is a ceasefire," Abdullah Jahid wrote on Twitter about the country's mountainous northern province near the border with Tajikistan.

"If peace comes, I will go to the remotest villages of Afghanistan to meet with the indigenous people, eat their food, learn about their handcrafts and share my sorrows and happiness with them," added Hamidullah Satari, another Twitter user.

The burst in enthusiasm comes as the Taliban and US are expected on February 29 to strike a deal that would see American troops withdraw from the country in exchange for security guarantees, after more than a year of gruelling talks.

Most analysts agree a subsequent agreement between the Taliban and the Kabul government would take years, but the breakthrough has spurred hopes.

People from all walks of life have been using the hashtags -- outlining journeys to be taken by foot, bicycle, or road trips by car, while Afghans living abroad have vowed to return to their country and settle if the war ends.

Even the Taliban are taking to social media to share hopes for peace.

"It was easy to travel under the Taliban regime but America destroyed everything. When the invasion ends, everything will be easy again," a Taliban supporter tweeted.

Others have said they hope any peace will provide an opportunity to help those who have suffered the most after decades of bloodshed.

Heela Najibullah -- the daughter of former Afghan president Najibullah Ahmadzai who was brutally tortured and murdered by the Taliban in 1996 -- said she hoped to visit her father's grave in southeastern Paktia province.

"I will walk to my father's grave. I will cry and pray that no other Afghan child becomes an orphan," she tweeted.

"I will make a school there, and teach at the university."


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