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Hopes riding on talks to defuse tense Iran situation
by Staff Writers
Tehran (AFP) March 17, 2012


Hopes are riding high that mooted talks between Iran and world powers will de-escalate a dangerous showdown over Tehran's controversial nuclear programme.

While Iran and the so-called P5+1 comprising the five UN Security Council permanent members plus Germany, are expected to soon agree a date and place for reviving their long-stalled talks, the spectre of military confrontation looms large.

Israel has kept up warnings of air strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities to prevent the Islamic republic obtaining a nuclear weapons capability.

A majority of Israel's 14-member security cabinet now supports Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Ehud Barak in launching a pre-emptive attack on Iran in a bid to end its nuclear programme, the Israeli newspaper Maariv reported on Thursday, citing political sources it did not identify.

"Israel is very close to the point when a very tough decision should be made -- the bomb or the bombing," former military intelligence chief Amos Yadlin told reporters last week.

The United States, meanwhile, is positioning three of its aircraft carriers near Iran, according to the US navy on its official website.

The USS Enterprise a week ago left its home port to join the USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Carl Vinson that are already in the region. The Lincoln in January sailed through the strategic Strait of Hormuz into the Gulf, testing Iranian threats against the Vinson in that body of water.

The US navy is also doubling the number of minesweeping ships and helicopters based in the Gulf, according to testimony by its chief, Admiral Jonathan Greenert, to US senators.

US President Barack Obama has warned that Iran's leaders have to understand that "the window for solving this issue diplomatically is shrinking."

Iran maintains its nuclear programme is purely peaceful even though this year it blocked UN inspectors from visiting a specific area of a military base suspected to have hosted nuclear warhead research.

Tehran on Wednesday made a formal request to schedule the time and place for "constructive, serious" talks with the P5+1, which it agreed to on February 14 after an initial offer made back in October by EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton.

The last round of negotiations with the P5+1 collapsed in Istanbul in January 2011.

Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, though, has told the West to drop the "illusion" that its economic sanctions against his country will force a change of heart over nuclear policy.

Khamenei has called nuclear weapons a "sin". Iran has stressed that it seeks only civilian uses from splitting the atom, such as nuclear energy and medical isotopes.

The Western sanctions are taking a toll on Iran's vital oil exports, though one that is quantifiably unclear overall amid competing declarations from Tehran and from Western agencies.

While shipments have certainly been curtailed to several markets, the tensions over the showdown have driven global oil prices higher, giving the Islamic state higher revenue per barrel of oil it manages to sell.

The International Atomic Energy Agency last November issued a report detailing suspicions that Iran was researching military aspects of nuclear technology, though it stopped short of stating definite proof of atomic bomb-related activities existed.

US intelligence has likewise said there was no evidence of an Iranian nuclear bomb and it was thought no decision had yet been made on whether to make one.

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Mossad agrees with US on Iran assessment: report
Washington (AFP) March 17, 2012 - Israel's intelligence service Mossad agrees with US assessments of Iran's nuclear ambitions, even though Israeli leaders have talked about Tehran's plans to acquire nuclear weapons, The New York Times reported late Saturday.

"Their people ask very hard questions, but Mossad does not disagree with the US on the weapons program," the newspaper quoted an unnamed former senior US intelligence official as saying.

"There is not a lot of dispute between the US and Israeli intelligence communities on the facts," the former official said.

The Times reported last month that US intelligence analysts continue to believe there was no hard evidence that Iran has decided to build a nuclear bomb.

The latest assessments by US spy agencies are broadly consistent with a 2007 intelligence finding that concluded that Iran had abandoned its nuclear weapons program, the paper said in that report.

According to Saturday's report, US spy agencies have spent years trying to track Iranian efforts to enrich uranium and develop missile technology, and they are watching for any move toward weaponization.

While the National Security Agency eavesdrops on telephone conversations of Iranian officials and conducts other forms of electronic surveillance, the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency analyzes radar imagery and digital images of nuclear sites, the paper noted.

Outside analysts believe high-tech drones prowl over secret Iranian installations, The Times pointed out.

Meanwhile, clandestine ground sensors, which can detect electromagnetic signals or radioactive emissions that could be linked to covert nuclear activity, are placed near suspect Iranian facilities, according to the report.

The United States also relies heavily on information gathered by inspectors with the International Atomic Energy Agency who visit some of Iran's nuclear-related facilities, The Times said.



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NUKEWARS
Israel vows to halt Iran nuclear drive
Buenos Aires (AFP) March 16, 2012
A top Israeli official vowed Friday to "prevent Iran from acting" if it seeks to use a nuclear weapon, amid growing impatience over Tehran's refusal to come clean on its nuclear program. Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon warned on a visit to Argentina that a nuclear-armed Iran would have "ramifications throughout the world" and allow Tehran to "achieve hegemony in the Middle East. ... read more


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