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POLITICAL ECONOMY
HK leader says China may slow yuan rise: report
by Staff Writers
Hong Kong (AFP) Oct 20, 2011

China says it is confident EU can overcome troubles
Beijing (AFP) Oct 20, 2011 - Beijing expressed confidence Thursday in Europe's ability to overcome its worst financial crisis in decades, ahead of a China-EU summit on October 25.

Europe's debt crisis will top the agenda when the president of the European Commission Jose Manuel Barroso and European Union President Herman van Rompuy meet Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao in the northern Chinese port city of Tianjin.

"We believe the difficulties are temporary and that the European countries... have the ability and fiscal resources to tackle the issue," foreign ministry spokeswoman Jiang Yu told journalists at a regular briefing.

"We hope... to send a positive signal of China and the EU joining hands to meet challenges. This is not only in the common interest of both sides but also conducive to world economic recovery."

Barroso and Van Rompuy, together with EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, will meet China's President Hu Jintao and his likely successor, Vice-President Xi Jinping, in Beijing during the summit.

The two sides are expected to focus on an investment agreement during the annual talks, in stark contrast to last year's summit, which was dominated by EU pressure on China over human rights and the value of its currency.


Hong Kong's leader Donald Tsang has said a looming global recession could prompt China to slow its currency's rise against the dollar on fears about slumping trade, a report said Thursday.

Critics, led by the US, have accused China of keeping the yuan's value artificially low to boost exports, and have called on Beijing to let the currency appreciate faster against the greenback.

The yuan has strengthened about seven percent against the dollar since June 2010 when Beijing vowed to let the currency trade more freely, although critics say it is undervalued by about 30 percent.

But a decline in global trade may see Beijing change course on its policy to let the yuan, also known as the renminbi, continue strengthening against the dollar, Tsang told The Wall Street Journal.

"I think, maybe the renminbi at the present trade pattern has reached a more optimal level," Tsang was quoted as saying in remarks published Thursday.

"(China is) engineering the appreciation of the renminbi in relation to the trade portfolio without causing any serious rupture in the domestic economy."

Hong Kong's chief executive added that "I'm afraid all the ingredients for another slowdown in the global economy are coming."

"The lack of investor confidence and the slowdown of consumption both in Europe and America are not good signs," he said.

The semi-autonomous Chinese territory is acting as a test bed for the internationalisation of the yuan, a key part of Beijing's goal to turn the unit into a global currency rivaling the dollar.

Beijing approved the yuan's use to settle cross-border trade with Hong Kong in 2009.

Tsang also said the amount of yuan-denominated trade will continue to grow due to uncertainties over the volatility of the dollar and euro, but added that full convertibility in the yuan won't happen in the near future.

"We are not talking about months, we are not talking about years, we are talking about decades," he said.

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China says private lending risks 'controllable'
Beijing (AFP) Oct 20, 2011 - China's banking regulator has downplayed concerns about the country's booming private lending market, saying the risks were "controllable".

Informal lending has flourished in China as credit restrictions in the state-controlled banking system forced many small firms to seek financing from rich individuals and companies charging interest rates of up to 70 percent.

Such practices have impaired the government's efforts to contain inflation and raised concerns about China's financial stability after a wave of defaults hit the country's booming coastal region.

In recent months, more than 90 business owners have fled and two committed suicide in the city of Wenzhou over unpaid debts.

Analysts estimate the private lending market could be worth as much as four trillion yuan ($626.4 billion) or about eight percent of formal bank loans.

"The China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) has paid high attention to these issues and (its measures) have achieved clear effects," Liu Mingkang, chairman of the CBRC, said in a speech Wednesday.

The risks are "generally controllable" after the regulator took a series of steps including a ban on bank funds being used in the private lending market and a crackdown on illegally high interest rates, he said.

Liu also sought to ease worries over the huge volume of loans to the real estate sector, saying that the latest official stress tests showed banks could withstand a 40 percent decline in property prices.

Chinese banks granted a total of 10.4 trillion yuan to the property market by the end of August, or 19.8 percent of all outstanding loans, he said.



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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China vows to keep yuan stable as investment slows
Beijing (AFP) Oct 19, 2011
China said Wednesday it would maintain a stable exchange rate and warned that foreign trade faced a "severe situation" in the coming months due to the West's economic woes. The commerce ministry made the remarks as it released figures showing foreign direct investment in China slowed in the first nine months of the year as the contribution from US and European investors fell. Commerce m ... read more


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