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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Fear of China 'hard landing' stalks Davos
by Staff Writers
Davos, Switzerland (AFP) Jan 24, 2014


US judge suspends Chinese units of 'Big Four' auditors
Washington (AFP) Jan 24, 2014 - A US judge has ordered Chinese units of the "Big Four" global accounting firms to be suspended from auditing US-traded companies for six months, saying they had "willfully violated" US laws.

The 112-page ruling by US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) administrative law judge Cameron Elliot could temporarily leave more than 100 Chinese companies quoted on US markets without an auditor and unable to trade.

The auditors and a fifth China-based accounting firm fell foul of the law by refusing to turn over documents about some of their clients to the commission, which wanted help in a fraud probe, Elliot ruled.

The ruling does not take effect immediately and the companies plan to launch an appeal with the SEC.

"The firms note that the decision is neither final nor legally effective unless and until reviewed and approved by the full US SEC Commission. The firms intend to appeal and thereby initiate that review without delay," they said in a joint statement.

If the ruling stands, not only will the Chinese companies be left with no auditor but it could also hamper the audits of US multinationals with significant operations in China.

This is because the Chinese affiliates of the Big Four -- Price Waterhouse Coopers, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, KPMG and Ernst & Young -- often help their US sister firms complete those audits.

Without audited financial statements, a company cannot sell securities in the United States or remain listed on the country's exchanges.

"This is a body blow to the Big Four," said Paul Gillis, a Beijing-based professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management. "It's really quite a harsh ruling," he told Dow Jones Newswires.

The SEC hailed the ruling, saying it upheld the commission's authority to obtain records that are "critical to our ability to investigate potential securities law violations and protect investors".

The fifth firm, Dahua CPA, was censured by Elliot but not suspended. Dahua was an affiliate of another large accounting firm, BDO, until last year although they are no longer linked.

The SEC had sought audit work papers from the firms to assist its investigations of more than 130 Chinese companies trading on US markets that have been subject to accounting and disclosure questions in the past few years.

Many of those companies have their independent audits performed by the Chinese affiliates of the Big Four.

The SEC had wanted to know more about what the auditors had found about the companies.

But the Chinese firms refused to turn over the documents, saying Chinese law treats the information in such documents as "state secrets".

The risk of a hard landing for the economy in China as well as the threat of military conflict with Japan stoked fears at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Friday.

Days after the world's second-largest economy registered its worst rate of growth for more than a decade, top politicians and economists at the annual gathering of the global elite said the near-term outlook was bleak.

Li Daokui, a leading Chinese economist and former central bank official, said: "This year and next year, there will be a struggle, a struggle to maintain a growth rate of 7-7.5 percent, which is the minimum to create the 7.5 million jobs every year China needs."

On January 20, Beijing announced that its economy had grown at 7.7 percent in 2013, the worst rate since 1999.

"The risk of a hard landing in China has not been dispelled yet," added Nouriel Roubini, the economist who earned the nickname "Dr Doom" for predicting the collapse of the US housing market and global recession in 2008.

He cited concerns over rising inequalities in China and the "vast challenge" facing authorities in Beijing as they bid to push through deep-seated economic reform.

President Xi Jinping has committed to transforming China's growth model to one where consumers and other private actors play the leading role, rather than huge and often wasteful state investment.

In a separate speech in the Swiss ski resort of Davos, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said these reforms "will have an extensive and positive impact on the whole world" and would be "more sweeping, thorough and difficult than ever before."

As the reforms take hold "enormous demand in China will be unleashed wave by wave", keeping growth at a fast pace for a long time, predicted the minister.

"A China committed to reform, enjoying growing prosperity, will bring a lot to the world," he vowed.

'Talk is cheap'

But several delegates voiced concern that the reforms were not being carried out quickly enough.

British finance minister George Osborne said: "In China, I think the challenge there is that there's a lot of good talk about economic reform... we all now just want to see that delivered by the Chinese government."

Roubini was characteristically more direct.

"Talk is cheap... we have to see action and so far we have not seen a lot of action," he stressed.

"I worry that it's going to be a gradual process and it may not go fast enough," added the economist, saying that many of the reforms also did not go far enough.

A potentially explosive diplomatic spat between Japan and China over islands in the East China Sea -- which has been a major topic in Davos this year after a keynote speech by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe -- also raised fears for the economic outlook.

Victor Chu, a Hong-Kong-based venture capitalist, said: "If there were an accident in the territorial situation, if there were accidents before politics and diplomacy can return things to the status quo... that could be serious" for the economy.

Everything rests on the success and pace of reform, several analysts said, with many predicting that Chinese growth could pick up after a relatively sluggish couple of years.

"It's not easy, it's a long and winding road but if you look at the long-term outlook, it has to be positive," said Chu.

Speaking on the sidelines of the meeting here, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde, said that a slowdown in China would have an impact on the global economy but played down the likely extent of the deceleration.

"We don't see a massive slowdown, we see a slightly reduced growth rate," she said.

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda also predicted stable growth in China "because the government has understood the need to reform the economic system but also the need to keep a relatively high growth."

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