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TRADE WARS
EU feels heat in China, US trade row
By Alex PIGMAN
Brussels (AFP) April 6, 2018

German carmakers worst hit by China tariffs: study
Berlin (AFP) April 6, 2018 - German carmakers with big US operations like BMW and Mercedes-Benz maker Daimler would be worse hit by proposed Chinese import tariffs than American auto firms, a study has found.

"The Germans stand to lose the most in absolute terms if the tariffs are enforced," a study by asset managers AllianceBernstein (AB) showed.

Business information company IHS estimated BMW would export 89,000 vehicles from America to China in 2018, while Mercedes would ship 65,000, making them by far the biggest US-China exporters.

US-made cars accounted for around 280,000 imports into China last year, behind top importer Japan but ahead of Germany.

But aside from electric-car pioneer Tesla -- where China is projected to account for more than 15 percent of shipments of its Model S and X lines this year -- other US-based manufacturers should send less than 10,000 cars each to China, limiting the impact.

Most of the American-built BMWs and Mercedes sent to China were costly SUVs, which could increase in price by up to 20 percent if Beijing implements its threatened tariff increases, according to AB.

Cars are just one sensitive US export on China's $50-billion hit-list, which also includes politically charged products like soybeans and aircraft.

Beijing suggested the levies as a possible response if US President Donald Trump imposes threatened tariffs on a $50 billion tally of Chinese imports.

But in the latest step in an escalating trans-Pacific war of words, Trump said he would slap a further $100 billion of tariffs on Chinese goods if Beijing retaliated.

If the two sides do not climb down and go ahead with the border taxes, it could "nudge" the German manufacturers towards producing cars for China locally rather than shipping them from the United States, AB suggested.

Nevertheless, it's "probably too soon to start talking about strategic change" from the firms in response to the trade sabre-rattling, the analysts added.

China reached out for Europe's support in its bitter trade war with the US, leaving the EU at risk of getting entangled in a conflict with repercussions around the world.

The European Union is caught in a bind as it too shares many of Washington's grievances with Beijing's trade practices, but is also under a threat of protectionist measures ordered up by US President Donald Trump.

In a rare diplomatic plea, China on Friday called on the EU to take a joint stand against US protectionism as Trump warned that he could slap another $100 billion (86 billion euros) of extra tariffs on China's imports.

"China and the EU... should take a clear stance against protectionism, jointly preserve the rules-based multilateral trade order, and keep the global economy on a sound and sustainable track," Zhang Ming, the head of the Chinese mission to the EU, said in a statement sent to AFP.

"This is a joint responsibility of China and the EU. We must act together to make that happen," Zhang said.

The EU declined to respond directly to the envoy's invitation, insisting only that trade conflicts should be resolved at the World Trade Organization, the Geneva-based body set up to resolve disputes.

The bloc is "firm in the belief that free and fair trade is one of the most powerful engines for growth, supporting millions of jobs and contributing to prosperity," European Commission spokesman Daniel Rosario said in a response to AFP.

The EU and the US themselves nearly descended into a trade war after Trump in March threatened to impose tariffs on steel and aluminium imports that would, if confirmed, punish European manufacturers.

But Trump granted Europe a last-minute exemption, giving EU negotiators until May 1 to come up with a solution to unfair trade policies alleged by the US leader.

The Europeans reject Trump's allegations, which have mostly circled on Germany's auto industry, and prepared a list of counter-measures in case the US reverses course and slaps on the tariffs.

The European Commission, which handles trade for the EU member states, said contacts with the US would continue next week, though French President Emmanuel Macron has angrily said that Europe should refuse to negotiate "with a gun to your head."

- 'Fruitless' -

Complicating matters, European leaders are largely in agreement with Trump that China fails to play fairly when it comes to international trade, not only for metals exports, but also market access for European companies and respecting intellectual property.

Many Europeans also rail against cash-flush Chinese tycoons that have snapped up European companies, sports clubs and airports, all while foreigners are barred from investing in equivalent industries in China.

China ranked 84th globally -- behind Saudi Arabia and Ukraine -- in the World Bank's ease of doing business index for 2016, and second to last in an OECD report on the restrictiveness towards foreign investment.

"The problem is the method," a European official told AFP, when asked about Trump's hardball approach to Beijing.

"The US is completely ignoring WTO rules. Until now they at least kept up appearances, but no longer," the source said.

Against China, the Europeans have always chosen the soft approach -- through lures of investment deals and closer cooperation -- said Economist Fredrik Erixon, director of the European Centre for International Political Economy in Brussels.

But this strategy will remain "fruitless, partly because there isn't any degree of confrontation, there is no bad cop next to the good cop and we need that," he said.

However he added: "While confrontation with China is necessary, Trump's way of doing it has too much collateral damage and does not deal with the issue in a rational way."


Related Links
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TRADE WARS
Trade war inches closer as US-China tensions mount
Washington (AFP) April 4, 2018
The escalating confrontation between Washington and Beijing inched closer to all-out trade war on Wednesday after China threatened retaliation against key US exports, sending global stocks lower initially. Beijing unveiled plans for painful import duties targeting politically-sensitive US exports, including soybeans, aircraft and autos, to retaliate against looming US tariffs on more than 1,000 Chinese goods worth about $50 billion. Wall Street opened sharply lower but closed with solid gains af ... read more

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