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China's industrial overcapacity damaging global economy: study
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Feb 22, 2016


US to press G20 to do more for growth
Washington (AFP) Feb 22, 2016 - Worried about global growth, the United States will press G20 powers to boost their economies when the group's finance chiefs meet in Shanghai this week, a senior US official said Monday.

The official said that Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew, representing Washington at the Group of 20 meeting, will also travel to Beijing to press on his Chinese counterpart the need to stick to its reform plans.

"Globally there remains a shortage of aggregate demand," the Treasury official said, insisting on anonymity.

"We think the global economy can do much better."

The official pointed to China's slowdown and weak growth in Europe as contributing to overall weak demand around the world.

He said Lew would recommend to his G20 counterparts at the February 26-27 meeting "that all levers of policy be deployed," meaning fiscal spending, monetary policy and structural reforms.

The official said that it was especially important that countries with strong finances spend and invest more to boost demand, at home and internationally.

"More and more it is important that those countries with fiscal space utilize that fiscal space," he said.

The US will also emphasize the need for countries to stick to pledges not to engage in competitive devaluations of currencies to boost export competitiveness, a crucial issue as China's yuan weakens, challenging its rivals to follow suit.

Other issues on the docket include providing better access for the world's poorest to financial systems; strengthening derivatives regulation; and preventing multinational companies from minimizing their taxes by shifting revenues and business to low- and no-tax havens.

The US will also press China, the world's number-two economy, to follow through with its reforms as crucial to strengthening the world economy.

After the G20 meeting Lew will meet with his Chinese counterpart in Beijing "to urge China to implement the market-based economic reforms that it has committed to."

"He will urge the authorities to pursue policies that support domestic demand, especially fiscal policies," the official said.

Treasury Under Secretary for International Affairs Nathan Sheets, in an opinion piece published Sunday on Medium, wrote that market turmoil has put a spotlight on "the need for China to accelerate the pace of its transition to a more consumption-led economy."

He also said that "clear communication to the market is critical" about China's policy to free up trading in its yuan currency.

China's overcapacity in heavy industries is wreaking "far-reaching" damage on the global economy, with steel production "completely untethered" from market demand, the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China said Monday.

The Asian giant's steel industry manufactures more than the next four largest producers combined -- Japan, India, the US, and Russia -- the chamber said in a report, warning that more than 60 percent of China's aluminium industry has negative cash flow.

And in just two years, its cement production equalled the amount produced in the United States during the entire 20th Century.

"China has not followed through on the attempts it has made over the last decade to address overcapacity," chamber president Joerg Wuttke said in a statement.

Brussels has launched new anti-dumping probes into Chinese steel imports, as producers in both Europe and Asia struggle with global prices that have plummeted in the face of oversupply.

"Overcapacity has been a blight on China's industrial landscape for many years now, affecting dozens of industries and wreaking far-reaching damage on the global economy in general, and China's economic growth in particular," the chamber's report said.

The issue has led to trade tensions between the world's second-largest economy and developed countries that accuse it of dumping in their markets.

China accounts for half of global steel production but internal demand has slowed sharply along with economic growth, forcing it to look overseas. Its steel exports soared 20 percent in 2015, according to Chinese Customs data.

The EU launched probes this month into imports of Chinese steel, with trade commissioner Cecilia Malmstroem warning: "We cannot allow unfair competition from artificially cheap imports to threaten our industry."

This month, Luxembourg-based world leader in steelmaking ArcelorMittal blamed China for a colossal $8 billion loss in 2015, at a time when thousands of jobs are being cut across the industry.

But many Chinese steel firms are also losing money, and Beijing has announced plans to cut production by as much as 150 million tonnes over the next five years.

- Protectionism -

Despite authorities' vows to tackle excess production, the EU chamber report said Beijing's prioritisation of industrial policies over consumption meant "the Chinese government's current role in the economy is part of the problem".

To achieve change, it said the government needed "a willingness to change itself".

Chamber president Wuttke told reporters: "We are now in a far more worse position than we were before.

"Beijing increasingly has the same problems as Brussels: making things happen. That was not the case 10 or 15 years ago. Local protectionism is very strong."

Beijing hopes to soak up overcapacity by selling its excess production to markets in Central Asia and the Middle East as part of President Xi Jinping's One Belt One Road plan, which has been touted as a revival of ancient Silk Road trade routes.

But those markets were not big enough to absorb China's overcapacity, Wuttke said. It "is a complete mismatch, it will not put even a minor dent in the overcapacities in China", he said.

bfc/fa

ARCELORMITTAL


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