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China makes long-awaited currency move

US welcomes China currency move, but doubts persist
Washington (AFP) June 19, 2010 - US President Barack Obama welcomed China's decision Saturday to make its yuan exchange rate more flexible, saying it would boost global economic recovery from a battering financial crisis. "China's decision to increase the flexibility of its exchange rate is a constructive step that can help safeguard the recovery and contribute to a more balanced global economy," Obama said in a statement. "I look forward to discussing these and other issues at the G20 Summit in Toronto next weekend." Yet some lawmakers and analysts remained skeptical about whether the action on the yuan, also known as the renminbi, was simply a symbolic action in the face of pressure from Washington. Economist Peter Morici of the University of Maryland called the move "a token gesture intended to defuse the pressure." Representative Sander Levin, who heads the key House Ways and Means Committee, said he welcomed Beijing's move "a positive first step, but it remains to be seen whether this move will be more symbolic than significant."

"The significance of this policy will depend on how much the government of China allows the renminbi to appreciate over time," Levin said in a statement. "We have seen actions like this before and it is clear that China did not allow enough appreciation the last time it adopted a policy like this one, from 2005-2008. If China takes that same approach again, the United States will still need to take action." Levin, whose committee oversees taxes and trade, had warned earlier in the week that "if China does not act and the administration does not respond promptly thereafter, the Congress will act." Senator Charles Schumer, who is pressing for legislation that would retaliate against China for currency manipulation, was more skeptical. "This vague and limited statement of intentions is China's typical response to pressure," the New York Democrat said. "Until there is more specific information about how quickly it will let its currency appreciate and by how much, we can have no good feeling that the Chinese will start playing by the rules.

"We hope the Chinese will get more specific in the next few days. If not, then for the sake of American jobs and wealth, which are hurt every day by China's practices, we will have no choice but to move forward with our legislation." Amid growing pressure on Beijing to strengthen its currency, China's central bank announced it would further promote reform of its exchange rate mechanism, but maintained there was no basis for "large swings" in the currency. The announcement came ahead of a meeting of the G20 biggest industrialized and developing economies in Toronto June 26 and 27, when the controversial exchange rate policy is expected to be on the agenda. In welcoming the move, US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said "vigorous implementation would make a positive contribution to strong and balanced global growth." The United States, through the administrations of Obama and his predecessor George W. Bush, has long stressed that China keeps its yuan undervalued but has stopped short of branding Beijing as a currency manipulator.
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) June 20, 2010
China's central bank said Saturday it would make its yuan exchange rate more flexible, an indication analysts said that Beijing was ready to scrap the dollar peg and allow the currency to rise.

However, the People's Bank of China said there were no grounds for "large swings" in the currency, suggesting policymakers would maintain their tight grip on the value of the yuan.

US President Barack Obama welcomed the move, saying it would boost global economic recovery from a battering financial crisis.

"China's decision to increase the flexibility of its exchange rate is a constructive step that can help safeguard the recovery and contribute to a more balanced global economy," Obama said in a statement.

The currency issue has been a constant irritant in relations between the United States and China, with US lawmakers charging that Beijing deliberately undervalues the yuan to give its exports an unfair advantage.

The European Commission welcomed the decision as a boost for the global economy and said "It sends a signal of confidence on the strength of the global recovery."

IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn also hailed it as a "very welcomed" announcement.

Japan praised the move, which Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said would help stabilise the Chinese, Asian and global economies and bring balanced growth, Jiji Press news agency reported.

The statement by the central bank was released amid pressure on Beijing to strengthen its currency and comes ahead of next week's G20 meeting in Toronto, where the controversial policy is expected to be on the agenda.

"China's central bank has decided to further promote the reform of the RMB (yuan) exchange rate mechanism, and strengthen the flexibility of the RMB exchange rate," the central bank said on its website.

However, it stressed that there was no basis for large movements or change in the exchange rate and reiterated that it would continue to manage the floating exchange rate "within the band already announced".

Central bank adviser Li Daokui said the statement marked an end to the fixed exchange rate but added he had no idea when the trading band would be widened, Dow Jones Newswires reported.

The move to increase the flexibility of the exchange rate was China's own decision and had no direct connection with the G20 summit, said Li, a member of the central bank's monetary policy committee.

Analysts said the statement suggested the government was moving away from the financial crisis exchange rate policy of effectively freezing the yuan against the dollar, which critics say gives China's exports an unfair trade advantage.

"I think they are saying this is the basic end of the de facto peg and they will be moving back to the 2005 system and this will mean gradual appreciation over time," said a Beijing-based analyst who declined to be named.

Morgan Stanley economist Wang Qing said the move to exit the dollar-peg was a "switch to the pre-crisis regime".

Export-driven China has effectively pegged the yuan to around 6.8 to the dollar since July 2008 to support manufacturers battered by the financial crisis and preserve jobs in a sector that employs tens of millions of people.

In 2005, China made its currency slightly more flexible and allowed the yuan to appreciate about 20 percent against the dollar until July 2008.

"Today's decision should pave the way for gradual appreciation of the yuan against the dollar over the rest of the year," said Brian Jackson, a senior analyst at Royal Bank of Canada in Hong Kong.

The bank said that given the gradual recovery in the global economy and greater stability in China, it was "desirable to proceed further with reform of the RMB exchange rate regime and increase the RMB exchange rate flexibility."

Facing election-year pressure, US lawmakers from both sides of the political aisle have vowed to launch legislative action within weeks to punish China over its currency policy.

Beijing has defended its stance as necessary to help exporters even as the world's third largest economy grew a blistering 11.9 percent in the first quarter and demand for Chinese-made products rebounded.

Speculation had been growing in recent months that Beijing may soon let the yuan appreciate, with a number of central bank officials hinting that a change in the exchange rate policy could be in the offing.

In March, People's Bank of China governor Zhou Xiaochuan said the exchange rate policy was temporary and would be scrapped "sooner or later" along with other crisis-measures.



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