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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China growth hit 24-year low in 2014: AFP survey
By Kelly OLSEN
Beijing (AFP) Jan 18, 2015


Hong Kong Phooey kicks back into action at Sotheby's sale
Hong Kong (AFP) Jan 17, 2015 - A popular piece of street art destroyed by Hong Kong authorities has been remade and is expected to fetch more than HK$1.5 million (US$192,000) at a Sotheby's auction next week.

It comes as experts say the demand for "cutting edge" art is growing across the Asian market with new, younger collectors emerging.

The ceramic mosaic of 1970s American cartoon character Hong Kong Phooey -- a mask-wearing dog who is an expert in kung fu -- was created by high-profile French street artist Invader.

It first went up on a wall in a quiet street of Hong Kong's upmarket Happy Valley neighbourhood last January.

But the artwork, which measures 1.3 metres x 2.1 metres (52 inches x 82 inches), was taken down within weeks by Hong Kong authorities, sparking outrage from residents.

Now the French artist has recreated the mosaic -- which has the character performing his signature flying kick -- and it is slated to be the highlight of Tuesday's auction.

It will be sold alongside the first ever work to be auctioned in Hong Kong by British artist Tracey Emin -- a turquoise neon sign that reads "Trust Me", expected to fetch up to HK$350,000.

"There are some very important collectors acquiring Monet and Van Gogh, but there's also a deep pool of new collectors trying to acquire more cutting edge pieces," Isaure de Viel Castel, Sotheby's head of mid-season sales for contemporary and modern fine arts, told AFP.

Artists such as Invader are responding to this challenge by making replicas of their works so collectors can take them home, she said.

"We're reaching out to new collectors here, people in their 30s or 40s who are very international."

Hong Kong has emerged as one of the world's major auction hubs in art and wine thanks to cash-rich mainland Chinese buyers with an appetite for luxury items.

The government is also developing a new art and culture district on the Kowloon waterfront where contemporary art museum "M+" is expected to boast a world-class collection.

But the city authorities are also frequently criticised for failing to preserve Hong Kong's cultural heritage, with the rapid pace of development leading to the demolition of historic buildings, and iconic graffiti scrubbed from walls.

Invader expressed deep disappointment after his art was taken down.

"I have never faced a situation where a public authority would systematically and rapidly remove the art from the streets," the artist said in a statement published by the South China Morning Post in February of last year.

"What message would you send to your citizens? What modern cultural heritage do you want to leave them?"

China's annual GDP growth slowed to its weakest rate in more than two decades in 2014, according to an AFP survey, projecting further deceleration in the world's second-largest economy this year.

The median forecast in a poll of 15 economists saw the Asian giant's gross domestic product (GDP) expanding 7.3 percent last year, down from 7.7 percent in 2013.

That would be the worst full-year result since the 3.8 percent recorded in 1990 -- the year after the Tiananmen Square crackdown.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) releases the official GDP figures for the fourth quarter and the whole of 2014 on Tuesday.

For this year, the economists see growth slowing further to a median 7.0 percent, as Chinese leaders proclaim a "new normal" of slower expansion and emphasise economic reforms.

"China may introduce many restructuring and reform measures this year and this may have some negative impact on economic growth," ANZ economist Liu Li-Gang told AFP.

He said that they might include changes to state-owned enterprises, financial reforms such as interest rate liberalisation and looser restrictions on private banks.

China, a main driver of global growth, was beset last year by problems ranging from weakness in manufacturing and trade to financial worries over rising debt levels and falling real estate prices, which have sent shockwaves through the key property sector.

For October to December 2014, the survey saw GDP as having risen a median 7.2 percent year-on-year.

That would be marginally weaker than the third quarter's 7.3 percent, and the worst quarterly result since the first three months of 2009, when growth logged a 6.6 percent expansion during the global financial crisis.

Authorities appeared to take last year's performance largely in their stride, sticking to a scenario whereby the country's consumers take the lead in underpinning expansion in coming years, emphasising in public statements the quality of growth rather than its size.

"China has entered a new normal of economic growth," Li Baodong, a vice foreign minister, told reporters on Friday, repeating a newly favoured phrase of the country's leaders.

"That is to say we are going through structural adjustment and the structural adjustment is progressing steadily."

Purveyors of high-quality consumer goods such as neighbours Japan and South Korea, as well as Europe and the United States, could stand to benefit from the remodelling of the economy.

But the implications of slowing Chinese growth for the rest of the world are already visible.

Commodity exporters such as Australia have suffered, after profiting immensely from China's boom years when expansion averaged 10 percent, hitting 14.2 percent as recently as 2007.

- Growth target -

There were limits to official nonchalance in Beijing, however, as a series of measures dubbed "mini-stimulus" by economists were put in place from April, while in November the central People's Bank of China cut interest rates for the first time in more than two years to try to put a floor on the slowdown.

Economists are broadly expecting further monetary policy tinkering this year, but say the focus will be on structural reforms over the temptation of stimulus.

"This would be similar to economic policy making in the late 1990s, which resulted in a decade-long reform dividend," Brian Jackson, Beijing-based economist with IHS Economics, said in a research note.

"Put together, that points to weakening growth in 2015."

An official expansion target of "about" 7.5 percent was set for last year. The goal is traditionally pegged at a level that is easily achieved, and is usually approximated to provide wiggle room for positive spin just in case.

It has not missed its mark since 1998 and the Asian economic crisis, but Premier Li Keqiang, who oversees the economy and is the country's second most senior official, has repeatedly dismissed concerns about undershooting the benchmark, emphasising instead the importance of indicators such as job creation -- a key factor in supporting consumer confidence.

"Slower growth is not a problem as long as the quality is high, which means for the same growth rate, more jobs are created while income distribution imbalances are reduced," Shen Jianguang, economist at Mizuho in Hong Kong, told AFP.

But ANZ's Liu said that 2014 had shown it was now "relatively difficult" for China to achieve 7.5 percent growth.

"Premier Li will likely lower the growth target to 7.0 percent in March," he said. "Seven percent is a fairly good growth target, given China's huge economic base and scale."


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