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Bush likely to unveil Iraq troop decision next week

by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Sept 5, 2008
US President George W. Bush is likely to announce a decision on US troops levels in Iraq next week, White House spokeswoman Dana Perino said Friday.

Asked whether Bush would accept the recommendations crafted by the top commander in Iraq, General David Petraeus, and other top military officials, Perino: "I'll let the president make his announcement next week."

Perino later said that Bush was "likely" to make the announcement next week, and that it would not come at the same time as an overdue US-Iraq long-term strategic agreemeent.

"I don't think that they're going to be coupled. We still have some things to work out with them," the spokeswoman said, adding that talks on the accord would resume early next week after a break over the past few days.

Bush is expected to announce only modest cuts in US force levels in Iraq early next year under a plan presented to him that calls for a shift in forces to Afghanistan, US defense officials said.

A senior defense official confirmed a New York Times report that the plan would shrink the number of US combat brigades in Iraq from to 14 from 15 and reduce the overall size of the force by some 8,000 troops by March.

US commanders in Iraq have urged caution in reducing the size of the 146,000-strong force, worried that conditions remain fragile despite dramatic gains in security.

But Admiral Michael Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has emphasized the need to reinforce US and NATO troops in Afghanistan where conditions have deteriorated in the face of a resurgence by the Taliban.

Defense Secretary Robert Gates and Mullen presented their recommendations to Bush on Wednesday and also shared the views of Petraeus, Lieutenant General Martin Dempsey, the Central Command chief, and the Joint Chiefs.

"They presented it to the president. He's obviously talking to his national security team and will be consulting with members of Congress before we move forward," said Perino.

"It shouldn't take too long to be able to make a decision, especially since we're on the trajectory of success that we've been on," she said, referring to the sharp drop in violence abetted by a US troop "surge" from January 2007 to July 2008.

"The question in the president's mind has been, how do we make sure that we cement those gains and not jeopardize those gains, and be able to continue the process of 'return on success'?" she said, using the White House's preferred term for a US troop withdrawal from Iraq.

earlier related report
Modest US force cuts proposed for Iraq: defense official
Top US defense officials have recommended US President George W. Bush order only a modest US troop withdrawal from Iraq next year, with some of the forces shifted to Afghanistan, officials told AFP Friday.

The White House said Bush was expected to announce a decision next week on the recommendations, which were presented to the president on Wednesday by top Pentagon officials.

A senior defense official said the plan would shrink the number of US combat brigades in Iraq to 14 from 15 and reduce the overall size of the force by some 8,000 troops by March.

"There will be well over 7,500 personnel reduced, with the reductions taking place as units complete their missions between now and early next year, with the major unit (a brigade combat team ) leaving without replacement in mid-January," a senior US military official said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

US commanders in Iraq have urged caution in reducing the size of the 146,000-strong force, worried that conditions remain fragile despite dramatic gains in security.

But Admiral Michael Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has emphasized the need to reinforce US and NATO troops in Afghanistan where conditions have deteriorated in the face of a resurgence by the Taliban.

A top US commander in Afghanistan said Friday he needs more troops and other resources for a winter offensive against the insurgents, who appear to be preparing to winter in Afghanistan in significant numbers for the first time, rather than sheltering in neighboring Pakistan.

"I do believe that the level of significant activities, maybe violence, will be higher than any previous winter since 2002," said Major General Jeffrey Schloesser in a video teleconference from Afghanistan.

"We're not losing this war, we won't lose it if those troops don't show up in the next several months," Schloesser told reporters.

But to "maintain the momentum and get after this winter campaign, then we are going to the need them in, say, the winter time frame," he added.

Schloesser was vague about how many troops he needed, putting it at "some number of a thousand."

The senior defense official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said "help is on the way."

Under the plans presented to Bush on Wednesday, about 4,500 additional troops would go to Afghanistan, including a Marine battalion that had been slated to replace a battalion in Iraq's al-Anbar province in November, the official said.

A combat brigade that was in line to deploy to Iraq also would be moved instead to Afghanistan in February 2009 under the plan.

Defense Secretary Robert Gates and Mullen presented their recommendations to Bush on Wednesday and also shared the views of General David Petraeus, the US commander in Iraq, Lieutenant General Martin Dempsey, the Central Command chief, and the Joint Chiefs.

White House spokesman Dana Perino said Bush was expected to announce his decision on the recommendations next week.

But she said it was unlikely there would also be a deal announced on an overdue US-Iraq long-term strategic agreement.

"I don't think that they're going to be coupled. We still have some things to work out with them," she said, adding that talks on the accord would resume early next week after a break over the past few days.

Geoff Morrell, the Pentagon press secretary, said in a statement late Thursday that top defense brass were united over the recommendations.

"Without getting into what specifically they advised the president, I can tell you that all these leaders are fundamentally in agreement on how we should proceed in Iraq," he said.

"As in the past, this was a collaborative process and they came to agreement after serious and lengthy discussions about the dramatic security gains in Iraq, the threats that still exist there and the uncertainties that remain," he said.

"Based on all that, they collectively decided on what they believe to be the best approach going forward. Of course, now it is up to the commander-in-chief to decide the way ahead," he said.

Related Links
Iraq: The first technology war of the 21st century



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Bush mulling Iraq troop recommendations
Washington (AFP) Sept 4, 2008
US President George W. Bush is drawing closer to a decision on US troop levels in Iraq after receiving top US commander General David Petraeus's advice, the White House said Thursday.







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