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CLIMATE SCIENCE
'Bad news' on warming should spur UN talks: climate chief
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) June 6, 2011

The UN's climate chief urged negotiators gathering on Monday for new talks to heed a double dose of "bad news" that global warming could bust a threshold widely considered safe.

Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), urged nations at the 12-day talks in Bonn to uphold their pledge to peg warming to 2.0 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit).

"Now, more than ever, it is critical that all efforts are mobilised towards living up to this commitment," she said in a webcast press conference.

Figueres pointed to "bad news" in the form of carbon emissions data released by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The Paris-based IEA said last month that carbon from energy use reached a record high in 2010 while NOAA said atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) in May had scaled a new peak.

The Bonn talks are meant to lay the groundwork for the next round of high-level negotiations in December in Durban, South Africa.

Some wealthy nations led by the United States favour restricting the scope of the Durban round to consolidating progress made in Cancun, Mexico, last December.

These include the creation of a "green fund" for developing countries that could reach 100 billion dollars a year, a system for monitoring national schemes to reduce emissions, and programmes to boost clean technologies and help poor nations cope with climate change.

"If we take these steps and start to build the new institutions needed for a pragmatic international regime, COP 17 in Durban will be a solid success," said Jonathan Pershing, the top US negotiator in Bonn.

Developing nations, led by China and other major emerging economies, have embraced these goals, but major disagreements remain on how they should take shape.

Another big area of discord is over the future of the UNFCCC's Kyoto Protocol, the sole treaty that sets down legally-binding emissions targets.

These requirements only apply to advanced economies, except the United States, which refuses to ratify Kyoto.

The "G77 and China" group -- a bloc of 131 developing countries -- reiterated Monday its demand for Kyoto pledges to be renewed when the present commitment period ends at the end of 2012.

This would be "one of the key outcomes" in Durban, the group said in a press release. "Its continuity demands a strong political decision from all parties."

Russia, Japan and Canada, however, have said they will not sign up for a new round of cuts unless rising giants such as China, India and Brazil accept constraints as well.

The European Union (EU) on Monday backed a second roster of pledges but warned this position should not be taken for granted.

"There is the impression that the EU will easily move into a second commitment period, that it is a foregone conclusion. That is not the case," said Artur Runge-Metzger, the chief negotiator.

The EU will renew Kyoto vows "only if there is also agreement on the other side towards an agreement that covers all those major economies at the same time," he said. "It cannot stand alone."

European nations, he pointed out, only account for 11 or 12 percent percent of global greenhouse gas emissions.

"We would not see that as success in Durban to say... 'we don't have anything else for the other 88 or 89 percent'."

Figueres said that there was some good news despite scientific gloom.

"Quite a few countries, including the biggest economies, are clearly building new policies that promote low carbon goals," she told journalists, citing China and Britain in particular.

Private capital was also flowing into low-carbon technologies, she said, noting that the UN climate scientists concluded recently that, by mid-century, up to 80 percent of the world's energy needs could come from renewable sources.




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Climate change warnings for Australia
Canberra, Australia (UPI) Jun 6, 2011 - Rising sea levels due to climate change could claim thousands of buildings and vital infrastructure in Australia by the end of the century, a new report claims.

The government-commissioned report addresses a worst-case scenario sea level rise of 3.3 feet within 90 years. It says up to 274,000 homes and more than 8,000 commercial buildings are at risk, as well as 22,000 miles of roads and railway throughout the country, totaling $226 billion in potential losses.

Meantime, the frequency and severity of natural disasters, which now cost Australia around $1 billion annually, will increase due to climate change, the report warns.

"The science tells us we can avoid the worst of these potential impacts if we reduce our carbon pollution -- that is why the government is committed to putting a price on carbon," Climate Change Minister Greg Combet said in a release.

"We can also reduce our vulnerability to impacts we can't avoid by using the best available science to plan timely and cost-effective adaptation measures."

The report comes amid a heated debate surrounding the government's proposed carbon price, or tax. Canberra is expected to announce a carbon tax framework in the next few weeks that would introduce a price on carbon emissions from July 2012, with an emissions trading scheme that could begin from 2015.

Australian Treasurer Wayne Swan said Sunday that his department's modeling shows that the introduction of a carbon price would boost the nation's renewable energy output six-fold over the next 40 years while gas-fired electricity production would grow by 150 percent, although he didn't indicate what carbon price was used in the forecast.

Experts say the government is likely to propose a carbon price of $20 to $30 per ton.

"Dirty energy will become more expensive and clean energy cheaper under a carbon price, creating the jobs of the future and helping to protect our environment and our economy," Swan wrote in an economic bulletin.

But the Mining Council of Australia contends that based on the 2009 Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme model, the mining sector would have to cut 23,510 jobs in the first 10 years of a carbon price.

Meanwhile, several climate change scientists at Australian National University in Canberra have received death threats.

''Obviously climate research is an emotive issue,'' said Ian Young, vice chancellor of the university.

The West Australian newspaper reports that about 45,000 people attended rallies Sunday in capital cities around Australia in support of putting a price on carbon pollution.





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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Dire climate warning locked in ancient rocks
Paris (AFP) June 5, 2011
Carbon is pouring into Earth's atmosphere ten times faster today than during a dramatic event 56 million years ago that raised Earth's temperature by at least five degrees Celsius (nine degrees Fahrenheit), according to a study released Sunday. That's not good news, geologists say, because the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, or PETM, might have been a pre-historic dress rehearal for a futu ... read more


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