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OIL AND GAS
Australia, U.S. and Canada to dominate future LNG markets
by Daniel J. Graeber
Paris (UPI) Jun 11, 2013


Top OPEC delegate says oil group can't keep markets stable by itself
Vienna (UPI) Jun 11, 2013 - Maintaining stable global oil market conditions isn't something the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries can do alone, a top delegate said Wednesday.

OPEC members met Wednesday in Vienna for a regular conference. Acting Libyan Oil Minister Omar Ali El Shakmak, serving as conference chairman, told delegates market stability was the top focus of member states.

The acting minister said the cartel expects world oil demand to increase by 1.1 million barrels per day and keeping markets satiated required a global effort. Market stability, he said, benefits all market players.

"To achieve this, though, OPEC cannot stand alone," he said in his address. "It will need the support and contribution of many stakeholders, who must do their part."

The 12 OPEC members combine to produce about 40 percent of the world's crude oil and their exports represent about 60 percent of the international market.

An increase in oil production from North America means the U.S. and Canadian markets are relying less on foreign imports to meet their energy demands. Shakmak said oil supply from countries outside of OPEC is expected to increase 1.4 million bpd to 55.5 million bpd and most of that growth is expected from North American producers.

The United States and Canada will account for about 8 percent of the global liquefied natural gas market by 2019, the International Energy Agency said.

"While demand growth is driven by the Asia-Pacific region, and especially China, supply growth for the international gas trade is dominated by private investments in LNG in Australia and North America," IEA Executive Director Maria van der Hoeven said Tuesday.

Global demand for natural gas is expected to increase by more than 2 percent by the end of this year. By 2019, LNG, a super-cooled form of gas, will meet about 40 percent of world's demand.

Australia, van der Hoeven said, is expected to account for half of the new LNG exports expected on the international market by 2019, with the United States and Canada combining to represent 8 percent of the market.

LNG is less constricted by the geopolitical issues that may influence pipeline deliveries. Van der Hoeven sand LNG provides benefits in terms of energy security, but without investments, coal could dominate the energy mix of growing economies in Asia.

"Unless we see timely investment in new production and LNG facilities and the reversal of the recent cost inflation of LNG, only a very strong climate policy commitment could redirect Asia's coal investment wave to gas," she said.

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